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20121001
20121009
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're in the expansion camp, you want financials, energy, materials. in the contraction camp, you're generally on the defensive side. the trade everybody's been talking about, jim you alluded to it, it's to play the u.s. market, play autos, housing, consumer staples. i call it the home depot trade. it's been a monster. that's the classic trade to play in these circumstances. i have a couple of problems with this. number one, cyclicals have outperformed defensive names in the last couple of months since this has been a very popular notion out there. since june overall, earnings and stocks have been somewhat negatively correlated. we've seen earnings come down and yet the stock markets continue to move up. in the last few weeks, really hold right near its highs. you can argue and there is certainly truth to that that that's because we have q.e. 3, because we've got the ecb in the market. but i look at the facts of where the market is, not necessarily what's been moving it every minute. that's what i see right now. today, the european bailout fund is coming into effect. if spain keeps going along
. >> thank you so much, rick. let's check out the latest moves in energy and metals. sharon at the nymex. >> the momentum here definitely in the metals market. i'm standing in the gold pit. gold prices went above $1,794 an ounce. a lot of investors may have looked at the s&p 500's returns, that's decent. but gold up over 10% in the last quarter. silver up over 25% in the last quarter. they want some more of that in the fourth quarter. and we're looking at that here in the metals market. also looking at momentum taking over, the weak sentimental data out of china in terms of the oil price. the oil prices here are a little bit of a bid for oil. the fact that they lowered a mix a little while ago before the open on the weak data out of china on their manufacturing numbers. in terms of the biggest mover here in the commodities space, definitely it is natural gas. natural gas at a ten-month high. natural gas here above 3.40. some are saying that $3 gas is sustainable here even if we don't see the same focus on coal to gas switching. still going to see higher natural gas prices. back to you. >
Search Results 0 to 1 of about 2